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Why Mortgage Rates Fell Even as the 10-Year Rose
As I’ve mentioned in a few recent posts, even though the Fed has started lowering short rates, the longer end of the curve has remained flat and even ticked up a bit. For example, the 10-year Treasury is up about 10 basis points since the Fed lowered rates. Despite this, mortgage rates have actually come down significantly, from around 6.9% in late May on a 30-yr fixed rate to around 6.30% in early October. What’s driving that? One big factor has been spread tightening in th
Oct 152 min read


Right-Sizing Model Risk Management
Model risk management isn’t one-size-fits-all. On October 6, 2025, the OCC issued Bulletin 2025-26 ( https://lnkd.in/diiunKRc ), reminding community banks that model risk practices, including how often models are validated, should be right-sized to an institution’s complexity, resources, and risk profile. I was glad to see the OCC explicitly say it does not expect every model to be validated every year. I’ve long believed that a thoughtful, risk-based approach beats a blanket
Oct 151 min read


FDIC’s Q1 2025 Banking Profile: Solid at a Glance, But Look Again
The FDIC published its quarterly banking profile for Q1 2025 yesterday. While the report looks "solid" on the surface, once you dive in a...
Jul 132 min read


Certified ≠ Validated: Know the Difference
If your institution relies on vendor models, this might save you from costly missteps and regulatory headaches. 🛑 Model Certifications ≠...
Jul 132 min read


Digital Dollars, Real Risk: What Stablecoins Mean for Model Risk
I’ve always been intrigued by crypto and the blockchain. But mostly from a distance as I'm pretty risk averse on the personal investing...
Jul 132 min read


A Better Approach to Model Validation: Practical, Thoughtful, Useful
Let’s be real - no one really gets too excited about a model validation. For many model owners, it can feel like a frustrating drain on...
Jul 132 min read


Principles That Guide Our Work at ValuRisk Partners
Now that I’ve launched my own firm, ValuRisk Partners, I’ve been reflecting on some of the lessons that have shaped how I approach model...
Jul 132 min read


Striking the Balance: Collaboration Between the 1st and 2nd Lines of Defense in Model Risk Management
In today’s highly regulated and data-driven financial environment, models are at the heart of decision-making, from credit underwriting...
May 62 min read
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