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Why Mortgage Rates Fell Even as the 10-Year Rose
As I’ve mentioned in a few recent posts, even though the Fed has started lowering short rates, the longer end of the curve has remained flat and even ticked up a bit. For example, the 10-year Treasury is up about 10 basis points since the Fed lowered rates. Despite this, mortgage rates have actually come down significantly, from around 6.9% in late May on a 30-yr fixed rate to around 6.30% in early October. What’s driving that? One big factor has been spread tightening in th
Oct 152 min read


Deposits Webinar - Avoiding Hidden Risks in Interest Rate and Liquidity Risk Management
I had the opportunity yesterday (July 2025) to present a webinar to nCino's Portfolio Analytics clients on a topic that continues to be...
Jul 132 min read


OCC’s Spring 2025 Risk Report: No Shocks, But CRE Still Looms
The OCC just released its Spring 2025 Semiannual Risk Perspective and, for community banks, it mostly backed up what we already know. 🏢...
Jul 132 min read


Interest Rate Risk Isn’t About Prediction - It’s About Preparation
Intricate geometric glass ceiling reflecting the sky, creating a mesmerizing pattern of blue squares. Why Model Integrity and Scenario...
May 112 min read
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